Wuhan Coronavirus Prediction vs Actual

Wuhan coronavirus Deathtoll Prediction Actual Date | confirmed | deaths 22/01/20 | 495 | 10 23/01/20 | 730 | 15 24/01/20 | 1080 | 22 25/01/20 | 1590 | 33 26/01/20 | 2350 | 48 27/01/20 | 3460 | 71 28/01/20 | 5100 | 105 29/01/20 | 7520 | 155 30/01/20 | 11090 | 229 31/01/20 | 16350 | 337 01/02/20 | 24120 | 497 02/02/20 | 35570 | 733 03/02/20 | 52500 | 1082 04/02/20 | 77400 | 1596 05/02/20 | 114100 | 2353 06/02/20 | 168300 | 3470 07/02/20 | 248200 | 5118 08/02/20 | 366000 | 7546 09/02/20 | 539800 | 11130 10/02/20 | 796000 | 16412 11/02/20 | 1174000 | 24206 12/02/20 | 1732000 | 35711 13/02/20 | 2553000 | 52639 14/02/20 | 3766000 | 77649 15/02/20 | 5554000 | 114515 16/02/20 | 8191000 | 168887 17/02/20 | 12080000 | 249072 18/02/20 | 17800000 | 367010 19/02/20 | 26270000 | 541649 20/02/20 | 38750000 | 798969 21/02/20 | 57140000 | 1178144 Date | confirmed | deaths 22/01/20 | 495 | 10 23/01/20 | 654 | 25 24/01/20 | 901 | 26 25/01/20 | 1126 | 41 26/01/20 | 12019 | 56 27/01/20 | 2700 | 80 28/01/20 | 4474 | 107 29/01/20 | 6057 | 132 30/01/20 | 7783 | 172 31/01/20 | 9776 | 213 01/02/20 | | 02/02/20 | | 03/02/20 | 17392 | 362 04/02/20 | | 05/02/20 | | 06/02/20 | | 07/02/20 | | 08/02/20 | | 09/02/20 | | 10/02/20 | | 11/02/20 | | 12/02/20 | | 13/02/20 | | 14/02/20 | | 15/02/20 | | 16/02/20 | | 17/02/20 | | 18/02/20 | | 19/02/20 | | 20/02/20 | | 21/02/20 | |

A two-column table compares a prediction of Wuhan coronavirus cases and deaths with the actual figures. The prediction rapidly escalates into tens of millions, while the actual data remains far lower and partially blank, creating darkly absurd commentary on exaggerated forecasting. It can be shared as a reaction to alarmist predictions, panic, or statistics that fail to match reality.

• @sbunem / 3304 2020-01-27
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